Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.318085 0.343458 0.370602 0.401920 0.437209 0.475916 0.521825
2025-11-16 0.270083 0.304936 0.344764 0.394141 0.454417 0.526554 0.620901
2025-11-23 0.241734 0.280969 0.327807 0.388812 0.467672 0.568400 0.710679
2025-11-30 0.226484 0.269530 0.322797 0.395135 0.493435 0.626608 0.828900
2025-12-07 0.211474 0.256310 0.313380 0.393518 0.506981 0.668563 0.930262
2025-12-14 0.199067 0.245032 0.304961 0.391596 0.518812 0.708418 1.034699
2025-12-21 0.186087 0.231839 0.292630 0.382575 0.518635 0.729264 1.111148
2025-12-28 0.180708 0.228305 0.292955 0.391273 0.545409 0.795448 1.279973
2026-01-04 0.174759 0.223472 0.290920 0.396015 0.566166 0.854374 1.449643
2026-01-11 0.168167 0.217255 0.286344 0.396277 0.579369 0.901780 1.608410
2026-01-18 0.160218 0.208621 0.277612 0.389205 0.579273 0.924638 1.719930
2026-01-25 0.151840 0.198929 0.266717 0.377790 0.570390 0.929378 1.790748
2026-02-01 0.144824 0.191068 0.258395 0.370369 0.568619 0.949415 1.909807
2026-02-08 0.138715 0.184284 0.251384 0.364667 0.569540 0.975522 2.055362
2026-02-15 0.133348 0.178333 0.245293 0.359992 0.571777 1.004667 2.220556
2026-02-22 0.130759 0.176398 0.245310 0.365655 0.594174 1.081632 2.561587
2026-03-01 0.126801 0.172183 0.241450 0.364209 0.602418 1.127967 2.828920
2026-03-08 0.123066 0.168134 0.237619 0.362490 0.609860 1.173795 3.120388
2026-03-15 0.118289 0.162273 0.230551 0.354417 0.603304 1.183800 3.282452
2026-03-22 0.116962 0.161722 0.232122 0.362201 0.630953 1.287055 3.898643
2026-03-29 0.115022 0.160109 0.231823 0.366442 0.651433 1.376218 4.535376
2026-04-05 0.112459 0.157393 0.229518 0.366676 0.662975 1.443078 5.128962
2026-04-12 0.108878 0.152913 0.224010 0.360351 0.658799 1.462814 5.478571